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Risk Management



The Osborne Group - Thursday, April 04, 2013

In a recent Globe and Mail article entitled The positive side of pessimism, reporter Wency Leung wrote about people’s tendency to overlook the protective benefits of negative thinking. She cited psychology professor Julie Norem’s term “defensive pessimism” and Norem’s explanation that “by considering the specific ways that an anticipated situation could go awry, people can actively prepare themselves and prevent disaster”. Leung was writing about an individual’s approach to optimism and pessimism but the same consideration can be applied to Boards of Directors thinking about their organizations. Or in other words, what keeps the Board members up at night?

Risk management has become a very hot topic for Boards in the last few years and a key part of their due diligence. For example, the March 2103 issue of the Journal of the Institute of Corporate Directors has a special feature on risk management. Estelle Metayer, a consultant and professor writing in the journal, talks about cognitive biases that contribute to Boards missing opportunities or falling victim to blindspots. Robert Crosbie of Marine Atlantic talks about the broad range of political risks such as strategic uncertainty and the government’s willingness to invest. In short, risk is everywhere and Boards need to identify it and plan how to deal with it. As Crosbie says, “When you’re right in the middle of it, you can’t be learning as you go.”

In my career experience, risk management first came as part of planning insurance coverage and assessing financial risk to the organization. In the early ‘90’s, when I was in an IT role, it was all about disaster recovery, hot sites and protecting your data. The next iteration was business continuity and what are you going to do if the building becomes uninhabitable (trailers anyone?). My most recent risk related work has now expanded to Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) which encompasses the previous components and more.

ERM looks at the organization’s entire operation to develop concepts such as the organization’s risk universe, their appetite for risk, ranking of risks and mitigation strategies. At the hospital where I was involved in developing and implementing an ERM, we defined risk as the uncertainty and potential to impact on the achievement of the organization’s goals and strategic directions. This comprehensive approach to risk looked at governance, communications, clinical care, infrastructure, public image, innovation, people, finance, technology, legal and regulatory matters. We also wanted to minimize any incremental cost and effort and made sure to integrate ERM with other activities such as hospital accreditation and the risk self assessment we did for our insurer. At the end of the process, the overarching concern was reputational risk – what would happen if we lost the confidence of our funders, our regulators and the public? The top specific risks to achieving our objectives – not dissimilar to other healthcare organizations - came down to human resources, IT and policies and procedures. As we put it to our Board, do we have the right people with the right tools doing the right things to live our values and achieve our goals?

To me there were a few key lessons learned from the ERM approach to risk. The first was that the people who know it best are the people in the organization who deal with operations every day. Consultants can bring a lot to the table in terms of process and tools but your people are the ones who know what’s going on. The challenge is to get them thinking in an ‘out-of-the-box’, non-defensive way about what might go wrong and how the problems can be avoided. Secondly, the organization has to follow through on the mitigation strategies. The Board needs to be aware of the risk assessment results and receive regular reports on the implementation status of the mitigation strategy action plans. The final learning is how useful and important it can be to look at your organization through the often unfamiliar and sometimes uncomfortable lens of risk. Most often, organizations and Boards like to focus on the good things we’re doing and to celebrate our successes. This is more inspirational and satisfying than dwelling on what might go wrong. As Leung stated in her article, “people have tended to neglect the upsides to pessimism because optimism seems well … nicer”. On the other hand, if we can identify and deal with those things that keep Board members up at night, maybe that can help us all sleep a little better. And in our sleep deprived world, that’s not a bad thing.   


Eric Preston

There’s a Common Theme to Canada’s Competitiveness (or lack thereof)…



The Osborne Group - Thursday, June 07, 2012

Consider these side-by-side…..Canada’s loss of mid-sized companies (527 gone between 2007 and 2010); the phenomenon of “reshoring” in which major manufacturers are bringing their business back from the likes of Japan to Georgia and Kansas; and the debate regarding financial support to Ford to re-tool its Oakville plant for new vehicle production in 2014 (and add in the angst over the impending line shutdown at GM Oshawa and loss of jobs).

The BDC can study this to death as per their views in Saturday’s Globe & Mail. By the time they announce a conclusion and any government level responds, the possible gains from the” reshoring” decade will be safely found in Indiana, Tennessee and Georgia.

Canadians have to be prepared to work for lower wages in the private sector, unionized or not, and government instead of just reducing headcount in the public sector, has to reduce real compensation so that we don’t end up with a two tier society (we already have it in pensions between the two sectors). We still have an educated workforce, space and structure to support these “reshoring” projects. It’s a sense of the real world that exists in a global market for manufacturing that’s needed. There’s a need to have a short, open debate about the aforementioned hollowing out of our business sector and the consequent reduced economic capability to supply a standard of living the starting point. Candid business, union (public sector and private) and political leadership will be absolutely necessary if a new consensus is to be constructed. All the protesting in the world (see Greece and Spain) doesn’t change problems of high unemployment. The state governments in the USA have taken a view that jobs are necessary and they and their citizens are embracing the manufacturing jobs that are re-appearing. Let the market set the wages. Forget the posturing. It’s what has to be done now to recreate the more prosperous future we want for our children and their children. 

 

John Bielby

Sustaining Conversion to Sustainable Energy Sources



The Osborne Group - Tuesday, May 08, 2012

We all support substituting sustainable electricity sources for fossil fired fuel power plants. It makes sense for our children’s future. We chew the air in the GTA, you cannot really breathe it.

A recent article in the Globe & Mail (Gwyn Morgan, April 30th , admittedly an energy patch guy) cites the numerous, expensive government policy initiatives in Europe and North America which have been scaled back or dropped due to ineffective results. Note this is about results, not the substitution notion. Whether in Spain or Germany, the USA or Ontario; grants, feed-in-tariffs, local content rules and other subsidies all have failed as yet to significantly drive more sustained rates of substitution, more permanent jobs and almost certainly ensured higher costs of electricity for both residential and business users.

Did governments try too hard to drive jobs as well as get their green merit badge, all at the same time, only to distort an important technology shift and perhaps in fact slow the uptake in sustainable electricity resources?  If we’re to convert to electrically powered vehicles to drastically reduce dependence on the internal combustion engine (and get back to breathable air) the price of electricity has to make that conversion feasible. We are market driven animals after all.  And we still demand the conversion to sustainable  energy sources in North America and abroad. It can be done with intelligent government policy not bandwagon thinking in developed and developing jurisdictions. As it’s a long term conversion project, the policies and programs have to make sense through periods of both economic adversity and prosperity in order to allow continuity of planning.  Not easy but doable.

John Bielby

Earth Rising



The Osborne Group - Tuesday, February 07, 2012

“Once a photograph of the Earth, taken from outside is available…a new idea as powerful as any other in history will be let loose.” -Sir Frederick Hoyle, 1948

One of the most beautiful photos I have ever
seen is a picture of the earth rising over the
horizon of the moon.
It looks blue, warm and
safe, particularly juxtaposed against the bleak
surface of the moon in the foreground and the
black emptiness surrounding it.

According to my Globe this weekend, this little
planet we inhabit is meandering through the
galaxy at about 1,332,000 kilometers an hour.
It sure doesn’t feel like we’re going that fast.
I guess it’s a good thing that we have that
atmosphere surrounding us like we’re driving
through space in a convertible with the top up.

(Much as I love convertible, I for one am glad we have that top up – I can’t imagine what a mess my hair would be if it were being blown around at that speed.)

I’m just saying that we need to protect this little ball we are riding around on so that it stays warm, safe and blue. We need to recognize that we all share the same land and sea and air and ruining it for anyone ruins it for everyone. And finally that when someone cuts you off in traffic or jumps into line ahead of you or doesn’t do what you ask them to do, give yourself some perspective by remembering the little blue ball in the middle of the big black emptiness.

Christy DeMont

Communication



The Osborne Group - Wednesday, October 12, 2011

I was delighted to read in this morning’s Globe & Mail how Steve Jobs’ college calligraphy class inspired his unmatched approach to product design.  In the classes he learned about different fonts, spacing of letters and the overall look and design of words on the page.  Intuitively, he understood that the words are only part of printed communication – how they look and feel on the page can be as important as what they say. 

Sounds a lot like the studies that say only 7% of face-to-face communication is verbal –  the rest lies in all the non-verbal cues we send.

Janet Carnegie



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